New Vehicle Tech Will Be Worth US$1.6 Trillion by 2034, Says IDTechEx
January 17, 2024 | PRNewswireEstimated reading time: 3 minutes
Autonomous driving, electric vehicles, connected and software-defined vehicles, and in-cabin monitoring are all megatrends reshaping the automotive industry. Together, these technologies combine to form a US$1.6 trillion opportunity by 2034, nearly a 10-fold increase compared to 2023. The new report from IDTechEx, "Future Automotive Technologies 2024-2034: Applications, Megatrends, Forecasts", brings together a portfolio of IDTechEx's research into a single summary of the biggest changes and opportunities coming to the automotive industry. Much of this potential market revenue will be coming from components required for electrification and automation, but the report predicts that services offered by autonomous and connected vehicles have the most room for growth.
Service revenue from autonomous cars, connected cars and software-defined cars
Autonomous cars are still in the early days, with commercial testing starting to scale in the US and China, but recent events involving Cruise show that the industry still needs to be apprehensive. There is hope though. In December, Waymo announced it had surpassed 7 million driverless miles across San Francisco, Los Angeles and Phoenix. In this time, it claims to have shown that its vehicles are 6.7 times less likely to be involved in an injury-causing accident compared to human drivers. Despite this success, any incident should and will be scrutinized, and it will take time for regulations and public trust to build. But, over a ten-year horizon, there will be significant growth of autonomous mobility-as-a-service (MaaS), with services spreading to hundreds of cities worldwide and generating hundreds of trillions of dollars in revenue.
While autonomous cars are still finding their footing, connected vehicles are already a reality in the automotive industry. Over the past few years, IDTechEx has seen OEMs bring in new revenue models based on a feature-as-a-service (FaaS) plan. This allows customers to subscribe to some features of their vehicle, like a heated steering wheel, as they need it. IDTechEx predicts that these models and the features on offer will grow more all-encompassing and complex over the next decade. IDTechEx's "Future Automotive Technologies 2024-2034: Applications, Megatrends, Forecasts" report shows that the annual revenue generated through connected and software-defined vehicles will exceed US$700 billion.
With both autonomous mobility services and connected vehicle services being in their infancy today but growing into hundred-billion-dollar industries in ten years' time, it is no wonder the automotive industry is so excited about them. IDTechEx finds that revenue generated through future automotive technology services will grow at a CAGR of 44.4% between 2023 and 2033.
Components needed for future automotive technologies
Electrification, automation, and in-cabin sensing are all creating new component markets and huge revenue opportunities for the automotive industry. In electric vehicles, the motor, battery, and power electronics form a growing market that can expect to see a CAGR of 9.8% between 2023 and 2033. While this is the largest of the component markets, it is not the fastest growing.
The modern transition to electric powertrains has been happening since the late 00s, and while technologies like adaptive cruise control have been around longer, it's only in the last five to ten years that the industry has seen a new push for high levels of automation. Most new vehicles already have a small array of sensors, but new SAE level 3 and above technologies require many sensors per vehicle. In addition to external sensors for environmental sensing, there is an even newer push for internal sensors for occupant and driver monitoring. These technologies will be crucial for keeping road users safe when autonomous systems need to hand off to the driver and be sure they are alert. "Future Automotive Technologies 2024-2034: Applications, Megatrends, Forecasts" finds that the ADAS and automated vehicle sensors market will grow at a CAGR of 13.7% between 2023 and 2033 and sensors for in-cabin monitoring will grow at a CAGR of 14.7% over the same period.
The automotive industry is changing rapidly, with new opportunities and revenue streams evolving. IDTechEx's new report, "Future Automotive Technologies 2024-2034: Applications, Megatrends, Forecasts", can help navigate these changes and prosper.
Suggested Items
RTX's Pratt & Whitney Canada and Angola's TAAG Airlines sign Fleet Management Program Agreement for PW150A Engines
05/01/2024 | RTXPratt & Whitney Canada and TAAG Angola Airlines E.P., Angola's state-owned airline, have signed a six-year Fleet Management™ Program (FMP) agreement. The engine maintenance services cover the airline's PW150A engines which power their fleet of Dash 8-400 regional turboprops.
GPV’s Q1 2024 Interim Financial Report Shows Strong Navigation in Uncertain Times
05/01/2024 | GPVDanish-based GPV recorded an expected drop in sales to DKK 2.3 billion for the first quarter of 2024. The decline also affected the operating profit, which was DKK 155 million compared to DKK 179 million in the same quarter last year, although the EBITDA margin was maintained. In general, demand has been softer in 2024, but GPV continues to invest for the long-term and expects the trend to turn in the second half of 2024.
Celestica Announces Q1 2024 Financial Results
05/01/2024 | CelesticaCelestica Inc., a leader in design, manufacturing, hardware platform and supply chain solutions for the world's most innovative companies, today announced financial results for the quarter ended March 31, 2024 (Q1 2024).
U.S. Companies Invest Heavily in Robots
04/30/2024 | IFRManufacturing companies in the United States have invested heavily in more automation: total installations of industrial robots rose by 12% and reached 44,303 units in 2023. Number one adopter is the car industry followed by the electrical and electronics sector.
IMI Championing Collaborative Partnerships
04/30/2024 | IMIIntegrated Micro-electronics, Inc. (IMI) held its virtual 2024 Annual Stockholders Meeting at Fairmont Hotel Makati on Thursday, 25 April 2024.